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Threat Modelling: Business and Climate

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Threat Modelling: Climate Business Continuity

Prepare your organisation for climate-related disruption before it becomes a crisis.

What it is

This template helps teams identify how climate change could disrupt critical business operations, assess the most serious continuity risks, and agree practical actions to prevent, respond to, and recover from disruption.

It covers threats such as heatwaves, flooding, storms, drought, wildfire, poor air quality, power outages, transport disruption, and supplier failure.

Suggested process

Before the session, identify the business area or service to assess, gather available evidence, and invite people with relevant operational knowledge.

In the session, work through the three boards from left to right:

  1. Scope, Critical Operations & Dependencies Define what is in scope, what must continue or be restored quickly, the maximum acceptable downtime, and the people, sites, systems, suppliers, and infrastructure needed to keep operations running.

  2. Climate Disruption Scenarios & Priority Risks Create realistic climate-disruption scenarios, assess their likelihood and consequence, identify vulnerabilities and existing controls, then select the three highest-priority continuity risks.

  3. Continuity Actions, Response & Review Agree actions to prevent or prepare for disruption, continue critical operations during an event, and recover afterwards. Record owners, triggers, deadlines, escalation routes, and evidence of completion.

After the session, share the agreed plan with accountable teams and suppliers. Add actions to relevant continuity plans, risk registers, emergency procedures, procurement requirements, and investment plans. Review it before high-risk seasons, after significant disruption, and at least annually.

Who should be involved

Include people who understand critical operations and can make or approve decisions:

  • Business continuity and risk leads

  • Operations and site managers

  • Facilities, health and safety, and workforce representatives

  • IT, data, security, and communications teams

  • Procurement, supply-chain, logistics, and key supplier contacts

  • Finance, insurance, legal, and compliance colleagues

  • Senior decision-makers and, where relevant, customer or community representatives

Benefits of using this template

  • Creates a shared view of what the business must protect.

  • Reveals hidden dependencies and single points of failure.

  • Turns climate risks into practical, owned continuity actions.

  • Improves readiness for disruption and supports faster response.

  • Strengthens communication with suppliers, customers, employees, insurers, and regulators.

  • Supports investment decisions by making resilience needs visible.

What you’ll leave with

A shared view of critical operations and dependencies, three prioritised climate-related continuity risks, and an owned action plan covering prevention, response, recovery, escalation, and review.

Evelina Lundqvist

Business consultant, facilitator @ The Good Tribe

Evelina Lundqvist (1981) is a sustainable business development and capacity-building consultant (20+ years of experience), born in Sweden and based in Austria. She's an avid zero waste, circular economy, interculturalism, and antiracism advocate—and a serial co-founder, co-creator, and award-winning social entrepreneur. Evelina holds an MBA in Business Ethics and CSR from Danube University, Austria.


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