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Toolkit 6.1 Experimentation Roadmap

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Objective of the Tool

The Experimentation Roadmap helps organisations structure and sequence experiments that test circular business model ideas before large-scale implementation. The tool supports companies in identifying critical uncertainties, defining testable hypotheses, designing experiments, and establishing decision criteria that guide learning and strategic choices. It enables organisations to reduce risk and accelerate learning during circular innovation processes. 

What the Tool Is

The Experimentation Roadmap is a structured planning tool used to organise experimentation activities related to circular business model innovation. It helps organisations clarify which assumptions need to be validated, design experiments capable of generating reliable insights, and define metrics that capture both learning and performance outcomes. The roadmap connects strategic intent with practical experimentation activities, resources, and timelines. 

When to Use the Tool

The Experimentation Roadmap is particularly useful when organisations are developing and validating circular solutions that involve significant uncertainty. It can be used when companies are: 

  • Testing new circular business model concepts

  • Piloting reuse, repair, refurbishment, or service-based models

  • Exploring new ecosystem collaborations

  • Validating consumer acceptance of circular offerings

  • Assessing technical feasibility of circular systems

  • Preparing decisions on scaling circular initiatives 

How to Use the Tool

Step 1 – Define Strategic Intent: Clarify the circular opportunity or uncertainty the organisation aims to explore. 

Step 2 – Identify Critical Assumptions: Identify the key assumptions that must hold true for the circular model to succeed. 

Step 3 – Formulate Hypotheses: Translate assumptions into explicit hypotheses that can be tested through experiments. 

Step 4 – Design the Experiment: Define the type of experiment that will generate reliable insights. 

Step 5 – Define Success and Learning Metrics: Identify indicators that will allow evaluation of both outcomes and learning. 

Step 6 – Identify Risks and Uncertainties: Identify factors that may influence or distort experimental results. 

Step 7 – Define Resources and Ownership: Determine who is responsible for the experiment and which resources are required. 

Step 8 – Plan Timeline and Phasing: Define when experiments will occur and how they will be sequenced. 

Step 9 – Define Decision Criteria: Determine which decisions will be triggered depending on the results. 

FRANCESCA

Researcher @ University of Vaasa

Funded by the European Commission through the Horizon Europe programme, the FRANCESCA project is an initiative that brings together a European consortium of research organisations, companies and sector associations to accelerate the circular transition of the furniture sector across Europe.


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